Dimes and Judas have a discussion on the essentiality of merging economics and geopolitics as a form of short-term forecasting, citing the book “Geopolitical Alpha” by Marko Papic. Here they explore the shift from the Washington Consensus to the Buenos Aries Consensus, coupled with the eternal importance of constraints over idealism.
Timestamps:
3:04– The Shift from the Washington Consensus
06:59– Newtonian Investors and Overreliance on Math
17:11– The System for Financial Geopolitical Forecasting
20:39– Media Voter Theory and Finding the Election’s Hook
29:11– Examples of Poor Predictions
34:42– Where to Dig Deep for the Right Information Flows
36:40– Predictions for the Next Decade